• phil cantor/@osgphil

College Football is Looking Less Likely by the Day



For those of you thinking--"Well, as long as College Football season is coming up, I'll be ok"....welp, don't get your hopes up.


Yes, we've talked incessantly on the OSG Sports College Football Podcast "The Review" about the latest news on how COVID-19 is going to affect the upcoming season.


And while I still believe there may possibly be some games played at some point in the next 10-months, it's looking less likely by the day it will be a normal 12 game schedule starting at the end of August.


In fact, for some teams that aren't in a Power 5 Conference, it is looking like the potential exists for you not to play at all.


No, I'm one of the ignorant people saying "The IVY League Postponed, therefore everyone else will". But I'm not saying it won't happen either.


Case(s) in point: South Carolina Athletic Director already going on record saying at "Best" he's hoping for 20,000 people at a game, if anyone comes. Then there's the ACC saying "All Fall Sports slated to start before September 1st, will be postponed (with the exception of Football, games start Sept. 3rd allegedly)....


You've got Ohio State, North Carolina, Kansas, Kansas State and others having to delay "Voluntary" workouts due to multiple players testing positive for Coronavirus. No, that ain't good.


Talks of Conference only schedules and moving games to the Spring have returned to the lips of Coaches, Athletic Directors and Conferences.


In the last episode of "The Review", we spoke about the game being "On the Clock". What we mean by that is this: In order to start a season by the beginning of September, teams need to hit full practice in late July. August 1st is probably a drop dead date for getting started. That is roughly 22 days from the date I write this (July 9th).


With case loads climbing through the ceiling just about everywhere---unless they begin to drop in roughly 7 days, we then butt up agains the 12-14 day quarantine time for anyone who might have a positive test. Right now, there is absolutely ZERO indication that's going to happen.


The math doesn't work.


Can College Football start later? Yes. But there's not a ton of flexibility in the schedule. The further back you start, you start cancelling Bowl Games (no big loss to me). You've got until the end of December to finish your games and play a Playoff. But then the question becomes, how do you determine who is worthy? It opens up a gigantic can of worms.


Yes, I know, there are some who say "They'll play anyway" and the answer to that is "No, they won't". They won't have a choice in the matter. If there's nobody on campus, they ain't playing. A majority of College Presidents have already gone on record and said it, they can't really take it back.


It will kill people in the South. I'm curious, very curious to see how SEC fans would digest not playing or an abridged season. I don't think it would go over well. But that's not their place to say.


Maybe I'll be wrong and things will suddenly take a turn for the better over the next week and the virus will "Magically Go Away" like some politicians seem to think it will...but don't put much money on that bet.


I honestly don't know how the schools will try to proceed. For the smaller ones, it may mean taking 2020 off. It will hurt. Financially. In some cases a lot. But they'll live to see another day.


The "Power 5" teams, they too will take a hit. It will hurt. It will bring to light the horrific management of their revenue streams because outside a handful of schools, most don't have a cash reserve (I think Texas/Texas A&M and UGA may be the only ones). But they will survive.


They will make it to 2022/23 when the TV deals get renegotiated, they'll get all the money they lost in 2020 and then some. While TV deals may or may not be the value they once were, you can be guar-an-teed ESPN will back up a Brink's Truck for them.


That's why I'm not losing any sleep over College Football being delayed, reconfigured or postponed for 2020. Sure, it will be an inconvenience, yeah, it will suck not spending a Saturday in the fall following games. But for the health of all involved and more importantly the people they might infect by coming in contact with, it may be necessary.


An inconvenience for sure, but if it improves even one persons odds of being around to see a full season in 2021, I'm good with it....

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